My friend Max says to me, “I just read that three of the first five presidents of the United States died on the Fourth of July. What do you think the odds of that happening are?”
I say, ‘No idea. But I’ll give you 10-to-one odds that I can name at least one of the three.’ Of course, he takes the bet. Now, I don’t know anything about the first five presidents except that their names are which are: Washington, Adams, Jefferson, Madison and Monroe.
So how am I guaranteed to get one of them correct.
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By naming three of them.
Nothing in the bet specified that I will give only one name. I can pretty much name them all!
You’re a real trickster, Rool. But you only get one guess.
60 percent
Two of the presidents have James as their first name (James Madison and James Monroe).
So if you answer “James” there is only one combination (out of the possible ten combinations of three of those presidents)that wouldn’t have a single James.